Tuesday, January 8, 2019

Moshe Arens: Engineer, Diplomat and Statesman

I was deeply saddened to hear of the passing of Moshe Arens earlier this week- a man who devoted his life's work towards securing Israel's national defense and economic well-being.

Born in Lithuania in 1925, Moshe Arens moved to the United States with his parents in 1939 - narrowly evading the tragedy that was to befall the friends and family that he left behind. As a young man, in the aftermath of those harrowing years, Moshe Arens was given the opportunity to build a new life amid the post-war prosperity of the United States - and no one could have blamed him had he chosen to stay. But his heart, and life's ambitions, lay elsewhere. He chose instead - first to join the Irgun, to participate in Israel's War of Independence in 1948 - and then later to move to Israel, and establish a new life in the struggling, youthful Jewish State. As Moshe Arens would later acknowledge,
"My father wasn’t happy about me going to Israel, and he wanted me to stay in the United States and become a millionaire. But this was something that I had to do. When people of a certain age ask me why I went to Israel in 1948, I reply, 'Why didn’t you?' I came out of Lithuania and Latvia where the Germans destroyed everything. Ninety-five percent of the Jews there didn’t survive. In 1948 this was our last stand after the Holocaust; this was the chance that Jews had to show they would survive."[1]
Graduating from MIT with a Bachelor of Science in Engineering in 1947, Arens would earn a Master of Science in Aeronautical Engineering from the California Institute of Technology in 1954 - going on to work at the Curtiss-Wright Corporation before returning to Israel in 1957 serve as a professor in Israel's newly established aeronautics faculty at Haifa's Technion. It was here that he would teach and mentor the generation of Israeli engineers, who would go on to found and develop much of Israel's indigenous aeronautics industry.

Arens would become Israel Aircraft Industries' Vice President of Engineering in 1962, going on to oversee the launch of the Kfir fighter development effort - a feat for which he would be awarded the Israel Defense Prize in 1971. Indeed, as he would acknowledge years later, it was this role that "had filled me with the greatest pride and given me the greatest satisfaction."[2]

Transitioning to politics, as a member of Israel's Likud party, Moshe Arens would be elected to the Knesset for the first time in 1974, serving as Israel's Ambassador to the United States from 1982-1983, as Minister of Defense from 1983-1984, from 1990-1992, and again in 1999, and as Foreign Minister from 1988-1990.

It would be possible to write at great length about Moshe Arens' many accomplishments, both in and out of government. About how he successfully lifted the U.S. embargo on aircraft weapons technologies that had been imposed in the aftermath of the 1982 Lebanon War - accomplished within days of taking office as Defense Minister. About how he championed Israel's Lavi fighter program and supported the development of Israel's indigenous defense industries at every opportunity, or of how decades later as Defense Minister, Moshe Arens would secure the delivery of over a hundred specially outfitted F-16I fighters to Israel - aircraft that would form the backbone of Israel's fighter fleet for the next two decades and beyond. We could enumerate these and many other examples of his contributions to Israel's defense industry and national security. But that is not what Moshe Arens is remembered most for.

What Moshe Arens is most remembered for, was that he was at all times a man who stood by his convictions. Whatever position Moshe Arens took, you could be sure that he could never be bought and never be sold. He was driven not so much by ambition, as by his own moral compass, sound reasoning, and his own deeply held beliefs. He passed up on his first opportunity to become Defense Minister in September of 1980, because he did not want to be remembered by history as the Defense Minister who presided over Israel's withdrawal from the Sinai. Decades later he would resign from Israel's Cabinet, in September of 1987, in protest over the decision to cancel the Lavi fighter program. As Minister of Defense and later as a Minister Without Portfolio, Moshe Arens would campaign to encourage Israel's Arab citizens to volunteer for service in Israel's armed forces - and lobby for budget to be allocated towards improving Israel's Arab communities - because "as Israeli citizens they owed Israel loyalty, and Israel in turn owed them full equality."[3]

At every turn, Moshe Arens took a stand based upon what he perceived to be true and right - for the defense of Israel, for the security and future of the Jewish people, and for the peace and prosperity of all of Israel's citizens.

Moshe Arens passed away on Monday 7 January, at the age of 93. He is survived by his wife Muriel, sons Yigal and Raanan, and daughters Rut and Aliza - as well as numerous grandchildren.

Israel has lost one of its greatest statesmen, one of its most vital leaders this week. A man who lived by his beliefs and never wavered from them. We are all diminished by his passing.


References
[1] Bernard Weinraub, "Plain-Spoken Hard-Liner for Israel," New York Times, Feb. 15, 1983, Part 1, 8.
[2] Moshe Arens, In Defense of Israel (Brookings Institute Press, Washington, 2018), 50.
[3] Moshe Arens, Broken Covenant (Simon & Schuster, New York, 1995), 20.

Thursday, October 4, 2018

Lavi: A Lesson in Unintended Consequences

For those that might have missed it, I recently published an article under Tablet (an online Jewish and Israeli issues magazine), exploring how the cancellation of the Lavi has today circumscribed Israel's abilities to influence the kinds of military aircraft that are available or offered to the IDF in the 21st century:
https://www.tabletmag.com/jewish-news-and-politics/271289/killing-the-lavi

Ultimately, the cancellation of the Lavi was not merely a question of losing an indigenous Israeli manufacturing capability, that would be difficult if not impossible to resurrect decades later. Rather, without the possible threat of an indigenous Israeli option, Israel's ability to influence the kinds of aircraft that the United States might offer for sale to the IDF has been seriously curtailed. Without that leverage, the IDF is no longer the master of its own destiny when it comes to the kinds of combat aircraft available for Israeli use, and the degree to which Israeli sensors, navigation and weapons systems are allowed to be integrated into future Israeli warplanes.
This has become the lasting, unexpected legacy for the cancellation of the Lavi.

Saturday, October 14, 2017

Lavi - The Controversy Continues 30 Years Later

Even now, decades after the fact, the controversy surrounding the cancellation of the Lavi program remains unresolved, as evidenced by two recent columns on the subject published in Israel's Haaretz.

The first, from former Defense Minister Moshe Arens, outlines three lies that were used by the opponents of the airplane to convince Israel's Cabinet to cancel the program in August of 1987.[1] The three lies were:

  • The unit price of the airplane was quoted on the basis of 80 aircraft, rather than on a larger production run of 200 aircraft - which would have been better aligned with the number of warplanes that the IDF actually intended to purchase over the next two decades.
  • The Cabinet was informed that Israel's air force instead planned to purchase the Advanced Tactical Fighter (which later became the F-22) from the United States, which was then under development - despite the fact that the U.S. had not offered the airplane for sale to Israel or to any other nation, and had no intention of doing so.
  • The Cabinet was misled regarding the number of engineers and technicians that would be laid off in the event of a vote to cancel the program, with an array of theoretical development programs proposed which never materialized and which were never proposed again.

As many of us are aware, Dr. Arens was among the Lavi program's most vocal champions within the Israeli government.

The second article published in Haaretz was a rebuttal from Kobi Richter, who headed the Weapons Department division for Israel's air force from 1983 to 1986.[2] Kobi Richter outlines his reasons for opposing the Lavi development program, mostly surrounding the eventual cost of procuring and maintaining a small fleet of unique Israeli-built warplanes. Nowhere, however, does Kobi Richter refute any of the three points made by Dr. Arens regarding how the Israeli Cabinet was misled in order to secure a vote in favor of cancelling the program.

Unfortunately, the controversy surrounding the Lavi is likely to remain indefinitely, with supporters and opponents of the program unconvinced by the arguments from the other side.


References:
[1] Moshe Arens, "The Three Lies That Shot Down the Lavi, the World's Greatest Israeli Fighter Aircraft," Haaretz (Sept 28, 2017).
[2] Kobi Richter, "I Opposed Building Israeli Fighter Jet Based on the Truth," Haaretz (Oct 2, 2017).

Monday, July 3, 2017

Space Highlights - July 3, 2017

July 3, 2017


A SpaceX Falcon 9 rocket has launched 10 communications satellites for Iridium Communications from Vandenberg AFB in California.  Shortly thereafter, in a separate launch from Cape Canaveral in Florida, another SpaceX Falcon 9 booster placed a Bulgarian communications satellite into orbit.
https://www.space.com/37303-spacex-iridium-satellite-launch-watch-live.html
http://abcnews.go.com/Technology/wireStory/spacex-set-launch-satellites-california-air-base-48266878
https://spaceflightnow.com/2017/06/23/bulgarias-first-communications-satellite-heaved-into-orbit/


An ISRO PSLV rocket successfully placed 31 satellites into orbit, including the Cartosat-2 Earth observation satellite and 30 smaller satellites from 14 countries.
http://www.newsnation.in/science-news/isro-pslv-c-38-launch-live-cartosat-2-30-other-satellites-launch-from-satish-dhawan-space-centre-sriharikota-andhra-pradesh-article-174929.html


An Ariane 5 rocket placed two geosynchronous communications satellites into orbit, marking the 80th consecutive successful launch for the Ariane 5 booster.  The two satellites comprised the Indian-built GSAT 17, and the European Hellas-Sat 3/Inmarsat S EAN spacecraft.
https://spaceflightnow.com/2017/06/28/ariane-5-rocket-tallies-80th-straight-success-with-on-target-satellite-launch/


China successfully launched an X-ray telescope into orbit aboard a Long March 4B rocket.  The Hard X-ray Modulation Telescope is intended to search for evidence of black holes.
http://www.sciencemag.org/news/2017/06/china-successfully-launches-x-ray-satellite


The smallest experimental satellite yet built was recently launched into space from NASA's Wallop Island facility.  The microsatellite, which weighed in at 64 g, was designed by a student in India.
http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/science/nasa-launches-worlds-lightest-satellite-designed-by-18-year-old-tamil-nadu-student/smallest-3d-printed-satellite/slideshow/59283141.cms


An upper stage booster malfunction has left the Chinasat-9A communications satellite in a lower-than-planned orbit.  This was the first failure involving a Long March 3B rocket since 2009.  The satellite is reportedly healthy, but will not be able to fulfill its planned role from its current, low earth orbit.
https://spaceflightnow.com/2017/06/19/chinese-broadcasting-satellite-ends-up-in-wrong-orbit-after-rocket-failure/


Upgraded software recently uploaded to Curiosity will allow NASA's Mars rover greater autonomy to identify targets for investigation.  The new AI software is being tested as a means to reduce idle time between when the rover initially surveys an area, and when human controllers on Earth can relay radio signals directing the rover to further investigate specific features.
https://www.space.com/37326-curisoty-rover-picks-its-own-targets.html


NASA has released new images of sunrise on Saturn, as well as of Saturn's moon Iapetus, captured by the Cassini spacecraft as it winds down its mission to the ringed planet.  Cassini recently marked the 13-year anniversary of its arrival at Saturn.
http://www.thehindu.com/sci-tech/science/cassini-probe-captures-saturns-dawn-in-stunning-image/article19154008.ece
http://www.sci-news.com/space/cassini-image-iapetus-04949.html
https://www.space.com/37353-nasa-cassini-saturn-mission-anniversary.html


NASA's Juno spacecraft has now completed five up-close passes of Jupiter, mapping atmospheric conditions at the gas giant.
https://phys.org/news/2017-06-gemini-images-juno-spacecraft-discovery.html


A new study claims that a survey of the orbital patterns of four newly discovered Kuiper belt objects suggests that previous claims that orbital distributions in the outer solar system were indicative of a previously unidentified, Neptune-sized "Planet Nine" may have been premature.  However, the team which assembled the original "Planet Nine" study have countered that three of the four new objects actually do bolster the case for a ninth planet - and that only one of the newly discovered objects does not.
http://www.sciencemag.org/news/2017/06/new-haul-distant-worlds-casts-doubt-planet-nine
https://www.nature.com/news/solar-system-survey-casts-doubt-on-mysterious-planet-nine-1.22177


A separate study of inner-Kuiper belt objects has suggested that another candidate planet my exist in the outer solar system: pointing to a much smaller, Mars-sized planet as being responsible for the orbital inclination of these inner Kuiper belt objects.  The proposed new object would be much smaller than the Neptune-sized "Planet Nine" that was first proposed in 2016, and would also lie much closer to the sun - close to the orbit of Pluto.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/speaking-of-science/wp/2017/06/27/a-mysterious-mars-sized-planet-may-be-hiding-at-the-edge-of-our-solar-system/?utm_term=.438e9c4d2116


A new theory for the behavior of dark matter suggests that part of the reason that it may be so difficult to detect is that it behaves differently at different scales - forming a "superfluid" or Bose-Einstein condensate at a galactic level, but acting like a low-density gas or vapor when viewed from an inter-galactic scale.
https://www.sciencealert.com/this-new-explanation-for-dark-matter-could-be-the-best-one-yet


A separate study has also attempted to resolve the differences in observed dark matter distributions and behavior at the galactic level - as compared to the intergalactic scale - by conducting a series of numerical simulations to pinpoint the dark matter characteristics that best match all observed phenomena.
https://www.forbes.com/sites/startswithabang/2017/06/29/dark-matter-theory-triumphs-in-sweeping-new-study/#2f28045252d8

Wide Body Report - July 2, 2017

July 2, 2017


Qatar Airways expects to receive its first A350-1000 later this year.  Qatar is the launch customer for the stretched version of the A350.
http://www.gulf-times.com/story/553059/Qatar-Airways-likely-to-receive-first-Airbus-A350-


Airbus has rolled out plans for a revised wing-tip for the A380 superjumbo, aimed at enhancing the airplane's fuel efficiency.  A prototype was rolled-out at this year's Paris Air Show.
http://fortune.com/2017/06/17/airbus-a380-design-wingtip/


Boeing has announced its first layoffs at its South Carolina factory which produces the 787 Dreamliner.  Fewer than 200 workers are expected to be let go, through a combination of voluntary and involuntary separation packages.
http://www.postandcourier.com/business/layoffs-announced-for-first-time-at-boeing-s-dreamliner-campus/article_05e36a64-573f-11e7-bd09-2fe3c806b828.html


Israel's El Al firmed up orders for three Boeing 787 Dreamliners.  The orders were part of a purchase originally announced in 2015, but not finalized until now.
http://atwonline.com/paris-air-show-2017/el-al-firms-three-boeing-787-orders


Lessor AirCap has placed orders for 30 Boeing 787 Dreamliners.
http://www.reuters.com/article/us-airshow-paris-aercap-idUSKBN19A1OW


Ethiopian Airlines has announced a commitment for two Boeing 777 freighters.  The order was previously announced as being made by an unidentified customer.
http://www.eturbonews.com/157732/ethiopian-airlines-orders-two-boeing-777-freighters


Iran Air expects to receive its first Boeing 777-300ER in April of 2018.
http://atwonline.com/airframes/iran-air-take-first-boeing-777-300er-april-2018

Single Aisle News - June 30, 2017

June 30, 2017


Bombardier is evaluating whether to update its official specification for the C-Series aircraft, to reflect better than expected fuel efficiency, as reported by operators Swiss and airBaltic.
https://www.flightglobal.com/news/articles/paris-bombardier-considers-updating-cseries-specifi-438325/


Bombardier officials expect to receive additional C-Series orders by year-end, but announced no new aircraft orders during the Paris Air Show.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/videos/2017-06-19/bombardier-sees-more-c-series-orders-by-end-of-year-video


Embraer announced a total of 30 orders and commitments for its E-Jet E2 family of aircraft during this year's Paris Air Show.  This included firm orders for 10 E195-E2s from an undisclosed customer (with purchase rights on another 10 aircraft), and a commitment to purchase 20 E190-E2s from a second undisclosed customer (with purchase rights for another 20 aircraft).  Embraer also announced sales for 8 current-generation E-Jet aircraft.
http://atwonline.com/paris-air-show-2017/embraer-tallies-orders-and-commitments-38-e-jets


Embraer has officially increased the MTOW (maximum take-off weight) for its E195-E2 aircraft now in flight test, and has improved the short-field performance numbers for its E190-E2 model, also in flight test.
https://www.ainonline.com/aviation-news/air-transport/2017-06-14/embraer-improves-e-jet-e2-performance-figures


This year's Paris Air Show marked the debut for the Bombardier E195-E2, KC-390 and Legacy 450 aircraft - all on display for the first time in Paris.
http://www.aerospacemanufacturinganddesign.com/article/embraer-e195-e2-kc-390--legcy-450-paris-debut-062017/
https://www.flightglobal.com/news/articles/pictures-e195-e2-with-unique-livery-touches-down-in-438255/


Observers at Paris noted the muted tones to the first appearance of Japan's Mitsubishi Regional Jet at the Air Show.  Customer deliveries for the MRJ have already been delayed five times, dampening interest in the airplane.
http://asia.nikkei.com/Business/Companies/Mitsubishi-Regional-Jet-unveiling-subdued-as-interest-flags


China Development Bank announced an order for 45 Airbus A320 NEO family aircraft during this year's Paris Air Show.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-06-19/china-s-cdb-said-to-plan-4-3-billion-airbus-a320neo-plane-order
https://www.usnews.com/news/top-news/articles/2017-06-21/factbox-airbus-boeing-commercial-aircraft-deals-at-paris-airshow


Lessor GECAS placed an order for 100 Airbus A320 NEO family aircraft during this year's Paris Air Show.  The GECAS aircraft will be powered by CFM Internaional LEAP-1A engines.  CFM is a 50-percent partnership between GE Aviation and France's Snecma.
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-airshow-paris-airbus-idUSKBN19A142


UK's low-cost carrier EasyJet took delivery of its first A320 NEO, out of a standing order for 130 aircraft.  EasyJet's aircraft will be powered by the CFM International LEAP-1A.
http://atwonline.com/airframes/easyjet-takes-first-airbus-a320neo


Spain's Iberia announced an order for 20 new Airbus A320 NEO aircraft.  The aircraft will be powered by CFM International LEAP-1A engines.
http://aviationtribune.com/airlines/europe/iberia-orders-20-airbus-a320neo/


Air Lease Corp ordered an additional 12 Airbus A321 NEOs during this year's Paris Air Show.  No engine selection was announced, although Air Lease Corp. has historically split its engine orders between the CFM LEAP-1A and Pratt & Whitney PW1100G engines.
http://www.eturbonews.com/157614/air-lease-corporation-inks-order-12-additional-a321neo-aircraft


Boeing rolled-out its new 737 MAX-10 model at this year's Paris Airshow, with orders and commitments from more than 10 customers, totaling over 240 aircraft.  Customers included 50 aircraft for Lion Air Group, 40 for India's SpiceJet, 20 for GECAS, 18 for Germany's TUI Group, 20 for Tibet Financial Leasing, and 10 each for China's CDB Aviation and BOC Aviation.  Some of these orders, however, were Boeing 737 MAX-8 or -9 orders that were converted to the 737 MAX-10.
http://money.cnn.com/2017/06/19/news/companies/boeing-737-max-10-launch/index.html
https://www.geekwire.com/2017/amid-talk-slowdown-boeing-makes-splash-paris-launch-737-max-10-jet/


Boeing also announced a contract for 125 Boeing 737 MAX-8 aircraft, signed with an unidentified customer.  The 737 MAX is powered exclusively by the CFM International LEAP-1B engine.
https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/265328/boeing-ba-wins-order-for-125-737-max-8-jets-worth-14b


Taken together, the orders total from Boeing surpassed that of Airbus at this year's Paris Air Show by twice the total order value, taken at list prices.
http://www.irishtimes.com/business/transport-and-tourism/boeing-secures-twice-as-much-order-value-as-airbus-1.3129194
https://www.usnews.com/news/top-news/articles/2017-06-21/factbox-airbus-boeing-commercial-aircraft-deals-at-paris-airshow


Boeing confirmed at the Paris Air Show that it is in the concept design stage for a new single-aisle airliner to replace its out-of-production 757.  The new airplane has been widely labeled as the 797, although design details remain sparse.
http://money.cnn.com/2017/06/20/news/companies/boeing-797-paris-first-peek/index.html


China's Comac announced a deal to sell 30 C919 aircraft to China's Everbright Financial Leasing.
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-comac-everbright-financial-leasing-idUSKBN1940D9


Russia's Irkut MC-21 prototype has completed two more flights this past week, including the first flight where the landing gear was retracted.
https://www.flightglobal.com/news/articles/irkut-extends-mc-21-flight-test-envelope-438262/

Wednesday, June 14, 2017

Wide Body Report - June 14, 2017

June 14, 2017


Boeing's 777 celebrated 23 years of flight this past week.
http://airlinegeeks.com/2017/06/12/the-boeing-777-aircraft-celebrates-23-years-of-flight/


El Al Israel Airlines expects to receive the first of 16 Boeing 787s that are currently on order this August.
https://www.reuters.com/article/el-al-arlns-boeing-idUSL8N1J8087
http://www.globes.co.il/en/article-el-al-set-for-the-dreamliner-era-1001192275


Airbus has rolled out its first A350-900 in Delta Airlines livery.  The airplane is expected to enter service in October.
https://www.flightglobal.com/news/articles/picture-airbus-rolls-out-first-painted-delta-a350-438194/
http://airlinegeeks.com/2017/06/13/photos-deltas-first-airbus-a350-900xwb-rolls-out-of-the-toulouse-paint-shop/


The first Airbus A350-1000 is expected to be delivered to Qatar Airways by the end of this year.
http://www.gulf-times.com/story/553059/Qatar-Airways-likely-to-receive-first-Airbus-A350-


Airbus is examining the possibility of incorporating wing tip extensions onto the A380 superjumbo aircraft.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-06-09/airbus-s-a380-superjumbo-could-be-about-to-get-a-bit-bigger
https://tribune.com.pk/story/1434273/airbus-a380-may-get-bigger/


Russian officials have announced that they intend to develop a new jet engine of their own, the PD-35, to power the C929 mid-size airliner that was recently launched as a joint program with China.  Many industry sources expect export copies of the airplane, however, to feature more fuel-efficient Western jet engines.
http://www.rusaviainsider.com/russian-pd-35-engine-enter-market-six-years/